Space Sunday: SLS, Falcon and Dream Chaser

Orion’s first deep space mission, EM-1 will be an extended uncrewed flight to cislunar space, officially targeted for June 2020, but which may still make a December 2019 lift-off. Credit: NASA

NASA has provided an update on the first integrated launch of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft.

Planned as an uncrewed mission, Exploration Mission-1 (EM-1), planned as a flight to cislunar space and back, is a critical test on the road to NASA’s human deep space exploration goals, designed to verify the SLS / Orion’s capabilities in handling missions between Earth and the Moon.

The update comes after the completion of reviews of both the Space Launch System and the Orion vehicle systems – the latter of which took place on both sides of the Atlantic, given the Orion’s Service Module, which is providing the vehicle with power and propulsion, is being built by the European Space Agency. NASA initiated the reviews as a result of early studies, which raised concerns over meeting a December 2019 launch date as ambitious, leading to the agency pushing it the launch back to June 2020.

EM-1 will utilise the “Block-1” Space Launch System booster, with a 70-tonne payload capability. Credit: NASA

As a part of the update, NASA points to June 2020 still being the planned launch date, but indicates it is also working to keeping the December 2019 launch a possibility, providing no significant setbacks or issues arise, as several of the risks indicated in the earlier report have not been realised. However, even if EM-1 still achieves the 2019 launch date, the follow-up EM-2 mission, which will carry a crew into space, will still take place in 2023, rather than 2021 as originally planned, to allow additional time for the development of the SLS Block 1B launch vehicle which will be used in that mission.

As part of the recent reviews, and in order to help meet the December 2019 launch opportunity, the update indicates that a flight test of the  Orion’s launch abort system, critical to SLS operations, and must occur prior to EM-1, have been brought forward to April 2019. Known as Ascent-Abort 2, it will validate the launch abort system’s ability to land the crew safely during descent, and also help ensure that the agency can remain on track for the EM-2 crewed flight in 2023.

To build the SLS and Orion, NASA is relying on several new and advanced manufacturing techniques, including 3D printing, which is being used to fashion more than 100 parts for the Orion capsule.  In Germany, integration of the first Service Module is progressing. Recently, the 24 orientation thrusters were installed, complementing the eight larger engines that will back up the main engine, and more than 11 km of cables are being laid and connected to send the megabytes of information from the solar panels, fuel systems, engines, and air and water supplies to the module’s central computers.

With the SLS booster, welding has been completed on all the major structures for the mission and is on track to assemble them to form the largest rocket stage ever built and complete the EM-1 “green run,” an engine test that will fire up the core stage with all four RS-25 engines at the same time.

EM-1 will see a crew-capable space craft travel further from Earth than at any point in time since the dawn of the space age. Following launch, the vehicle will commence a 4-day flight to cislunar space, where it will remain in extended orbit around the Moon, before making a 4-day return to Earth.

SpaceX Looks to Falcon Heavy Launch and Operational Return of Pad 40

With NASA still looking at a potential of December 2019 for the maiden launch of the Space Launch System rocket, SpaceX is preparing for a December 2017 maiden flight of their new launch system, the Falcon Heavy. Originally scheduled for November 2017, the launch is now pencilled for December 29th, 2017 and will be one of five launches SpaceX plan to round-out the year.

SpaceX Falcon Heavy, slated for a December 29th maiden flight. Credit: SpaceX

The Falcon Heavy, when operational, will be capable of hoisting a maximum payload of 63.5 to low Earth orbit, although the more usual LEO payload limit will be around 55 tonnes. It will also be capable of lobbing 14 tonnes to the Moon, 10 tonnes to Mars and even 3.5 tonnes to the outer solar system.

The maiden flight, however, will carry little more than a dummy payload, but it will hopefully include the recovery of the three Falcon 9 rockets which make up the core of the Falcon Heavy.

Two of these rockets form “strap on boosters” for the Falcon Heavy, and are jettisoned first. If all goes according to plan, these will perform automated “boost back” manoeuvres and fly themselves to safe landings.. The central booster will continue until its fuel is almost expended, then separate from the upper stage, perform its own boost back manoeuvre and return to Earth.

Eventually, SpaceX plan to make Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy fully reusable with the addition of a “fly back” upper stage as well.

Also in December, SpaceX plan to re-active their launch facilities at Launch complex 40 at Canaveral Air Force Station alongside Kennedy Space Centre, Florida. This has been out of commission sine September 1st, 2016, when a Falcon 9 booster exploded on the pad during a pre-launch test, completely destroying itself, its payload and severely damaging the pad.

Since that time, SpaceX’s east coast operations have been confined to launch complex 39A at Kennedy Space Centre, which will be used for all Falcon Heavy launches and – eventually – for the launch of the SpaceX Interplanetary Transport System.

Despite Canaveral Pad 40 being out of service, SpaceX has achieved its highest cadence of launches to date in 2017, and hopes to be able to commit to an even higher rate of launches in 2018 using both pad 40 and pad 39A.

The first scheduled flight from the repaired pad 40 should be a commercial cargo resupply services mission to the International Space Station (ISS), and subject to NASA approval, might utilise a previously flown Falcon 9 first stage.

Continue reading “Space Sunday: SLS, Falcon and Dream Chaser”

Space Sunday: images of Mars, comets and giant planets

Looking across Gale Crater as it might appear from NASA’s Mars Science Laboratory rover Curiosity. Render created by Kevin M Gill.

Kevin M. Gill is a software engineer, planetary and climate data wrangler at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory. He’s been working with digital terrain models and ortho images from the HiRISE imaging system aboard NASA’s Mars  Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) to create some stunning computer models and images of Endeavour and Gale craters, where the Opportunity and Curiosity rovers are exploring, as well as other regions of Mars. These have caused a stir on social media this week, and rightly so.

Kevin provides a detailed description of how he produces the images, which involves a range of software tools including ImageMagick, Maya and Photoshop. For those interested in creating computer renderings, his post makes a fascinating read; for those who love images of Mars, his images offer a stunning new perspective on the planet. The images utilise a slight vertical height exaggeration and false colour / lighting adjusted to Earth daylight standards, but the results are undeniably stunning.

A view along a volcanic fissure in the Cerberus Palas region of Mars. Rendering by Kevin M. Gill

Some of the images offer a unique perspective on surface features, such as the one above, showing a volcanic fissure in Cerberus Palas in the north-eastern Elysium quadrangle of Mars.

For those interested in producing vistas of Mars in a platform such as Linden Lab’s Sansar, Kevin’s work and notes could offer a starting point. In turn, Sansar could offer the perfect VR visualisation platform for allowing people to “visit” and learn about Mars.

“Mount Sharp” (Aeolis Mons), the mound of material deposited against the central impact peak of Gale Crater. Render by Kevin M Gill.

Meanwhile, the MSL team are moving closer to resuming drilling operations with the Curiosity rover.

These were suspended in December 2016. Prior to that, Curiosity had used the drill system mounted on its robot arm a total of 15 times between 2013 and 2016. On each of those occasions, two contact post, one either side of the bit, were placed on the target rock before the bit was extended by the drill feed mechanism, helping to gauge and support the drill. It was reliability issues with the feed mechanism which led to the suspension of all drilling operations.

Engineers have been investigating ways to use the drill without any reliance on the feed mechanism. This requires the drill to remain extended, the rover’s arm bringing it directly in contact with the rock to be drilled, without any support from the stabilising arms. In order for this to work, it is essential the drill bit  – which not only cuts into rocks, but gathers samples from within them – can be placed with minimal downward or side-to-side pressure or motion on it, to ensure it is not damaged or becomes stuck.

The issue here is that when supported by the stabilisers, the drill had only one axis of movement, without them, it could be subject to fix degree freedom of movement as vibrations from the drilling process feed back into the rover’s arm. To minimise this risk, tests are being carried out to determine if sensors in the robot arm are sensitive enough to detect potentially damaging motions in the drill when in use, and shut down the drilling operation.

On October 17th, 2017, NASA conducted the first test with Curiosity’s robot arm aimed at resuming the rover’s ability to gather rock samples with the drill mounted on the arm. Credit: NASA/JPL

To this end, on October 17th, 2017, Curiosity was commanded to place the drill bit in contact with a rock for the first time in ten months and without the use of the stabilisers. The bit was then gently pressed downward and moved slightly from side-to-side to see how well the sensors responded, the idea being that when the drill resumes operations, the sensors can be used to automatically detect potentially harmful movements in the drill head which could result in the bit being damage or becoming stuck.

It’s still likely to be several months before Curiosity resumes drilling operations, with further tests in the planning. However, mission managers are optimistic the rover will at some point be able to resume use the drill to gather samples from within rocks for analysis.

Deep Space Gateway Gains Momentum

On November 1st, 2017, NASA awarded contracts to five companies to examine how they can develop a power and propulsion module as the initial element of the agency’s proposed Deep Space Gateway.

As currently envisioned, the power and propulsion module will generate electrical power for the gateway, provide a communications relay and use a solar electric engine for manoeuvring the station in cislunar space. NASA had been examining their own ideas for the module, but it is hoped that the contracts will allow industry the chance to present their own ideas and technologies in support of the module’s development.

Part of the NASA studies involve the use of a 50-kilowatt solar electric propulsion (SEP) motor for the module, the idea being that if successful, the system could be scaled-up for use on missions to Mars.  While SEP systems can’t generate much thrust, they can run for long periods and are far more efficient than chemical systems.

Artist’s concept of the Deep Space Gateway passing close to the Moon. Credit: NASA

NASA had planned to test the SEP concept on the robotic portion of the now-cancelled Asteroid Redirect Mission (ARM), in which a robotic spacecraft would obtain a boulder-sized sample of a near Earth asteroid and return it to cislunar space for examination by astronauts. With the cancellation of that mission, the SEP programme has been in limbo; so issuing the contracts might both help revive the SEP project and allow commercial organisations weigh-in on the work.

These contracts are separate from those issued in 2016 to examine development of habitat modules for the gateway. However, all five of the companies that received contracts for Power and Propulsion Element studies also either have a habitat award or are partnered with a company that does.

How NASA plans to proceed with development of the station, including how it procures it from industry, will depend on the outcome of the studies as well as NASA’s overall exploration planning. At this point in time – and despite the October 5th, 2017 directive from the inaugural meeting of the re-invoked US National Space Council (NSC) concerning an American return to the Moon – the Deep Space Gateway remains a concept, not a formal NASA programme.

Also interested in participating in the programme is the European Space Agency. They are hoping to have a dedicated module forming part of the station, and are offering to develop a resupply system potentially capable of delivering up to nine tonnes of supplies to the Gateway.

The resupply vehicle would likely use the Ariane 6 launcher and solar electric propulsion system, rated around 60 kilowatts. ESA representatives believe the system could be ready for operation in 2025 or 2026, which fits with the time frame for the station’s development – which could see the power and propulsion module launched in 2022, as part of NASA’s Exploration Mission 2 mission for the Orion / Space Launch System. In the meantime, the first launch of the Ariane 6 booster is currently scheduled for 2020.

Continue reading “Space Sunday: images of Mars, comets and giant planets”

Space Sunday: ancient oceans, comets from beyond, and exoplanet hunting

Dawn mission patch. NASA/JPL

Studies of Ceres, the largest dwarf planet within the orbit of Neptune, and the focus of the joint NASA / ESA Dawn mission for the last 30 months, are beginning to be published at a high rate of knots. In my previous Space Sunday I covered the report that the water ice discovered around Ernutet crater was likely of local origin. Now, two further studies point to Ceres once having a liquid water ocean.

The first study used gravity measurements to characterise Ceres’ interior, the second sought to determine its interior structure by studying its topography. Both came to similar conclusions.

The NASA team conducting the gravity measurements used data gathered by the spacecraft, together with an analysis of gravity-induced variations in the vehicle’s orbit around the dwarf planet as tracked by NASA’s Deep Space Network (DSN) and an analysis of the gravity anomalies associated with four of Ceres’ most notable surface features: the craters Occator (famous for having bright deposits in its basin which caused excitement in the early months of the spacecraft’s time at Ceres), Kerwan and Yalode, and Ceres one significant mountain, Ahuna Mons. This allowed them to draw a number of conclusions, the most notable being Ceres was once very geologically active, and that its surface crust has an overall density closer to that of ice than rock.

The second study focused on investigating the strength and composition of Ceres’ crust and deeper interior by studying the dwarf planet’s topography. By modelling Ceres’ crustal flow, the researchers determined that it is a mixture of ice, salts, rock, and clathrate hydrates, crystalline water-based solids resembling water ice but with up to 1,000 time its strength.

Diagram showing a possible internal structure for Ceres. Credit: NASA/ESA/STScI

The researchers further determined this high-strength crust probably rests on a softer layer that contains some liquid, allowing Ceres’ topography to deform over time, smoothing down features that were once more pronounced and producing the surface environment we see today.

Taken together, these studies suggest that Ceres once had a sub-surface ocean, likely kept liquid by internal heating (which has been suggested by other studies). This ocean may have been similar to the liquid water oceans thought to exist under the surfaces of Europa and Enceladus today. However, in the case of Ceres, much of it has long since frozen out into the dwarf planet’s crust. Most, but not all. The studies, together with the visual evidence of cryovolcanism on Ceres suggest that beneath the frozen crust there is a “soft” layer, possibly a slushy, semi-frozen layer of liquid.

It’s not clear how liquid this residual ocean might be, but as Julie Castillo-Rogez, the Dawn project scientist at JPL and a co-author on both studies, explained, “More and more, we are learning that Ceres is a complex, dynamic world that may have hosted a lot of liquid water in the past, and may still have some underground.” It is also further evidence that many of the smaller bodies in the solar system from Pluto to the asteroid belt, have histories every bit as complex as the major planets in the solar system.

Have We Just Witnessed an Extra-Solar Visitor?

We’re familiar with the concept of comets. They generally originate from one of two points in the outer solar system. The Kuiper Belt,  extending from the orbit of Neptune (at 30 AU) to approximately 50 AU from the Sun, gives rise to what we call “short period” comets which follow a predictable orbit that swings them past the Sun on a regular basis. Halley’s Comet, with its 76-year period, is perhaps the most famous of these.

Then there is the Oort Cloud, predominantly comprising icy planetesimals believed to surround the Sun to as far as somewhere between 50,000 and 200,000 AU (0.8 and 3.2 light years), and thought to be the origin for “long period” comets with orbits around the Sun measured in the hundreds of years.

However, some astronomers believe the solar system might currently be being visited by an altogether rarer type of comet: one that originated in another star system.

A fast-moving object, designated A/2017 U1, was initially spotted on October 18th in Hawaii by the Pan-STARRS 1 telescope. Since then it has been closely tracked by astronomer around the world.  What is particularly interesting about it is that Sun-orbiting eccentricity of between 0 (a circular orbit), and 1 (a parabolic orbit). Anything above 1 would tend to point to an object being entirely extra-solar in origin. A/2017 U1 has an orbital eccentricity of 1.2.

Because of this high eccentricity, the Minor Planets Centre put out a call for more observations on the object in attempts to confirm it is likely extra-solar in nature. It passed around the Sun on September 9th, and was detected as it crossed back over Earth’s orbit on its way back out into space. At the time it was spotted, the comet was about 30 million km (19 million mi) from Earth, and travelling at a velocity of 26 km/s (16 mi/s) –  much faster than the velocity required to escape the Sun, but within ~5 km/s of other stars within the Sun’s stellar neighbourhood, further indicating an interstellar origin.

A simulation of A/2017 U1’s flight through the solar system. At the centre is the Sun and the inner planets, including Earth. The purple item in Jupiter, and the yellow object just beyond it is Saturn. The three pale green items are comets originating within the solar system, and the outermost bright green item represents the orbit of Uranus. A/2017 U1 is indicated by the yellow high inclination parabola, which has swung the object around the Sun. Travelling at 26 km/s, it will escape the Sun’s influence and head back out into interstellar space. Credit: Tony Dunn.

The object’s trajectory is also unusual, approaching the Sun from high above the plane of the ecliptic, and observations made from the Pan-STARRS 1 telescope in Hawaii, the William Herschel Telescope in the Canary Islands and the Very Large Telescope in Chile suggest the comet is a rocky / ice object roughly 160 metres along at least one of its axes.

Tony Dunn, an undergraduate physics and astronomy teacher at San Francisco State University has been running a series of computer simulations using tracking data on the comet, which he has been publishing on his Twitter feed. These suggest the comet may have originated as a body orbiting the star Vega, some 25 light years from the Sun; however, the likely point of origin is still being hotly debated and may never be accurately known.

Another simulation of the object’s passage through the inner solar system. Credit: NASA/JPL

If the object did originate in another star system, then it would suggest the other stars have rings or clouds or material surrounding them at great distances in a manner similar to the Oort cloud. It would also be confirmation of the idea that other stars passing within a few light-years of the Sun disturb the Oort cloud, causing objects there to be disrupted in their orbits, some of which fall towards the Sun and become long-period comets. Presumably, the Sun and other stars can influence rocky clouds around their neighbours in the same way – and that as well as falling towards their local star as comets, the disturbed objects can be kicked out of their local system to become interstellar wanderers.

“We have been waiting for this day for decades,” said Paul Chodas, responsible for NASA’s Centre for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), which has also been observing the object. “It’s long been theorised that such objects exist — asteroids or comets moving around between the stars and occasionally passing through our solar system — but this is the first such detection.”

“We have long suspected that these objects should exist, because during the process of planet formation a lot of material should be ejected from planetary systems,” Karen Meech, an astronomer at the Institute for Astronomy, Hawaii which operates the Pan-STARRs telescope, added. “What’s most surprising is that we’ve never seen interstellar objects pass through before.”

Continue reading “Space Sunday: ancient oceans, comets from beyond, and exoplanet hunting”

Space Sunday: when neutron stars collide

When neutron stars collide: an artist’s impression of the point when two neutron stars collided in the galaxy NGC 4993, 130 million years ago, and which are now increasing our understanding of neutron stars and the universe. Credit: SF/LIGO/Sonoma State University/A. Simonnet

Around the world on August 17th, 2017, some 70 telescopes and observatories – including the Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO), responsible for confirming the existence of gravitational waves (see here and here for more) – quietly turned their attention on the same spot in the constellation Hydra.

“I don’t think it’s out of the question that this is the most observed astronomical event ever. It’s a thrilling notion, and a little overwhelming,” said LIGO spokesperson David Shoemaker. “We’ve got somewhere between a quarter and a third of all the world’s astronomers working with us.”

The reason? Hours earlier, an observatory in Chile had detected gravitational waves followed by a burst of gamma radiation – potentially the signature of two neutron stars colliding far beyond our galaxy. If so, the detection would be the first time gravitational waves have been observed originating from something other than the merger of two black holes. Hence, an alert was issued to observatories around the globe, resulting in the massed focusing on instruments on that single point in space.

Over the coming days, the data revealed that a collision between two neutron stars in what is referred two as a “kilonova”  – which sits between a star going nova and a super-massive star going supernova.  It marks the first confirmation that neutron star mergers can cause gamma ray bursts. However, there is much more to the event.

Neutron stars are the dense remnants of massive stars that long ago exploded as supernovae. The two stars in question are located in galaxy NGC 4993, 130 million light years from Earth. Originally, these stars were each around 10-20 times the mass of our sun; after each went supernova, they collapsed down to bodies around 16 km (10 mi) in diameter, comprised entirely of neutrons so densely packed, that despite their small size, each still had a mass perhaps twice that of our own Sun.

These two neutron stars, located close together, were gradually drawn together over the course of perhaps 11 billion years by their mutual gravities until they collided, venting huge amounts of energy across the spectrum and space-time in what astronomers call a “multi-messenger event”. It was the arrival of the light waves and gravitational waves here on Earth, 130 million years later, that astronomers from around the world were keen to observe, marking the first time a cosmological event of this nature has been observed in both gravitational waves and light, producing a huge amount of data for researchers to study.

How the kilonova was initially observed through the initial days of visible light observation following the first indication of the collision through to the falling off of light from the initial explosive outburst of energy. Credit: Sarah Wilkinson / LCO.

Thanks to the alert sent out by the Chilean observatory, over 3,500 astronomers and more than 100 instruments  – including LIGO and a the Hubble Space Telescope responded, making the event the first to be observed through the detection of visible light and gravitational waves. Their findings are now being made public, and include some remarkable facts.

These include the first confirmation that neutron star mergers can cause gamma ray bursts – although there is some questions over what this might in fact mean. It also marks the first measurement of the universe’s expansion using gravitational waves.In addition, as the collision was recorded in wavelengths right across the electromagnetic spectrum, from radio to gamma rays, it is the first time a cosmological event of this nature has been observed in both gravitational waves and light. A further result of the observations is that astronomers have witnessed heavy elements being formed from the aftermath of the event.

“People have long suspected that heavy elements were made in neutron star mergers, but this is really the first time we’ve nailed that down,” Andrew Levan, an astronomer at the University of Warwick in the UK. “This merger made something like the mass of the Earth in gold, along with other heavy elements such as platinum, lead and uranium.”

The kilonova as seen from the Hubble Space Telescope a few days after the explosion, tracking it as the initial light faded. Credit: NASA and ESA. Acknowledgement: A.J. Levan (U. Warwick), N.R. Tanvir (U. Leicester), and A. Fruchter and O. Fox (STScI)

It was actually the discovery that heavy elements were being formed in the material resulting from the collision which confirmed the event was an actual collision of two neutron stars. The elements would only be formed if neutrons were being ejected from the two stars to collide with lighter atoms in the surrounding space. Material would only be ejected if the objects in collision each had a surface, something black holes don’t have – they only have an event horizon.

This in turn indicated the event was far closer that the previous five detections of gravitational waves which have occurred since 2015. These have been the result of pairs of black holes merging, none of which have been closer than 1.3 billion light years away. That the gravitational waves were observed alongside of light waves also gave further confirmation of another of Einstein’s general relativity predictions: that light and gravitational waves travel and more-or-less the same speed.

Observations and data gathering continued after the initial explosion was detected, although the light from the collision faded over the 6-8 days following the event, and astronomers are keen to discover what has been left behind. Currently, the region of NGC 4993 where the kilonova occurred is obscured behind a cloud of matter and heavy elements, leading to questions on whether or not the two stars may have merged to form an even larger neutron star, or whether they collapsed into a black hole. Some of those studying the data gathered believe the gamma ray burst recorded after the initial detection of gravitational waves might be indicative of the latter, the result of matter left over from the event and collapse being drawn into the event horizon.

Summing up the significance of the event, astronomer Tony Piro from the Harvard–Smithsonian Centre for Astrophysics said, “The ability to study the same event with both gravitational waves and light is a real revolution in astronomy. We can now study the universe with completely different probes, which teaches things we could never know with only one or the other.”

Continue reading “Space Sunday: when neutron stars collide”

Space Sunday: radiation, rings and pollution

Missions like Elon Musk’s hopes for Mars need good radiation protection for crews – and NASA is working to bring this about. Credit: SpaceX

I’ve written several times about the risk radiation poses to dee space missions; particularly Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs), the so-called “background radiation” left over from the big bang. As I’ve noted, while solar radiation – up to and including Solar Particle Events (SPEs or “solar storms”) can be reasonably well dealt with, on account of the particles being relatively low-energy – 13 centimetres (5 inches) of water or similar liquid – is pretty good protection against the primary radiation threat of SPEs, for example – GCRs are far harder to deal with.

However, there are materials which can block them. Again, I’ve written about Hydrogenated boron nitride nanotubes (BNNTs). These are something being developed by NASA’s Langley Flight Centre in Virginia; extremely flexible, they can be used in the construction of key elements of space vehicles – walls, floors, ceilings, for example – and can even be woven into a material used as a lining in space suits to protect astronauts.  Similarly, borated polyethylene – already used for radiation shielding in nuclear reactors aboard US naval vessels, medical vaults and linear accelerators, among other applications – offers a means to provide primary radiation protection within the structure of space vehicles.

However, these are only effective in stopping primary radiation damage – that is, damage cause by the direct impact of radiation on living cells. A far, far greater risk people in deep space will face is from so-called secondary radiation,  particularly in the case of GCRs.  simply put, when a GCR particle collides with another, it sends energetic neutrons, protons and other particles in all directions, which can collide with others. It’s like a bullet striking something and scattering shrapnel, potentially doing damage to a lot of cells if they strike a living body. The problem here is that the more material used to block the effects of primary radiation damage, the more the risk of secondary radiation damage is increased.

Materials such as BNNTS and borated polyethylene could be used for surface vehicles and equipment as well

This means that there is unlikely to be a single solution to the issue of radiation exposure on deep space missions such as to Mars. Which is why scientists aren’t looking for one. NASA, for example has been conducting research into technologies such as BNNTs and magnetic shielding for space vehicles for over a decade. The latter, if possible, would use a magnetic field around a space vehicle to protect the crew, much as Earth’s magnetic field protects us. The problem here is that such systems currently require huge amounts of electrical power and can add a significant amount of mass to a space vehicle.

Another avenue of research being investigated is the use of pharmaceuticals as possible radiation inhibitors. Drugs such as potassium iodide, diethylenetriamine pentaacietic acid (DTPA) and the dye known as “Prussian blue” have for decades been used to treat radiation sickness. The theory is now that they could be used as part of a preventative regime of preventative treatment for astronauts on deep space missions.

The whole subject of radiation protection has become a focus in light of NASA’s “new” directive to return humans to the Moon and also because of Elon Musk’s determination to send humans to Mars, possibly as early as the mid-2020s. Because of this, NASA has been highlighting its research into radiation exposure management of late, which also includes solar weather forecasting (to help warn crews in deep space about the risk of SPEs, etc.), and in looking at 20+ years of orbital operations aboard the shuttle ISS and Russia’s MIr space station. All of this is leaving some at NASA feeling very positive about efforts to send humans beyond Earth orbit, as Pat Troutman, the NASA Human Exploration Strategic Analysis Lead, stated in a NASA press statement on the matter:

Some people think that radiation will keep NASA from sending people to Mars, but that’s not the current situation. When we add the various mitigation techniques up, we are optimistic it will lead to a successful Mars mission with a healthy crew that will live a very long and productive life after they return to Earth.

Whether progress on all fronts will be sufficiently advanced to encompass something like Elon Musk’s aggressive approach to human missions to Mars remains to be seen. However, with the “new” directive for NASA to return humans to the Moon, there’s a good chance we’ll see some of the current initiatives in radiation protection bearing fruit in the next few years.

The Risk Posed by Tiangong 1

Tiangong 1 (“Heavenly Palace 1”), the first Chinese orbital facility has been creating some sensationalist headlines of late.  Launched in 2011, the facility saw two crews spend time aboard it, prior to it being run on an automated basis from 2013. On March 21st, 2016 the Chinese Manned Space Engineering Office announced that they had disabled the facility’s data service in preparation for shifting their focus to the (then) upcoming Tiangong 2 facility and in allowing Tiangong 1’s orbit to decay so it would burn-up re-entering the upper atmosphere.

Tiangong 1. Credit: CMSE

The time-frame from re-entry was predicted to be late 2017 / early 2018. However, around the time Tiangong 2 was launched the Chinese space agency admitted they’d lost attitude control of the laboratory, so they could no longer orient it as it orbits the Earth. As a result, the facility has been under scrutiny from Earth by individuals and groups monitoring the rate of its orbital decay.

One of these observers is astrophysicist Jonathan McDowell of Harvard university. In early October he released a statement indicating that as a loss of attitude control coupled with increased atmospheric friction has resulted in a sharp decline in Tiangong 1’s altitude to the point where it could see the vehicle re-enter the Earth’s atmosphere in the next few months. He also noted – accurately – that some elements of the 8.5 tonne vehicle could survive re-entry and reach the surface of the Earth (something the Chinese have always noted).

Unfortunately, his report led to some sensationalist responses from portions of the media. For example, one UK media tabloid blasted: “Out-of-control space station to smash into Earth THIS MONTH…and it could hit ANYWHERE. … A MASSIVE space station is hurtling towards Earth!” (block capital their own, not mine); other newspapers also highlighted the upper-end of the risk posed by the vehicle’s re-entry.

Needless to say such reports wildly over-egg the situation. The reality is that Tiangong’s orbit carries it over vast swathes of ocean and large areas of sparsely populated land. As such, while there is a risk of parts of the station reaching the ground, the chances of them hitting a populated area are remote. In this, Tiangong reflects the US Skylab mission in 1979 and the Russian Salyut 7 / Cosmos 1686 combination of 1991. Both of these where much larger than Tiangong 1 (77 tonnes and 40 tonnes respectively), both made an uncontrolled re-entry, and in both cases, wreckage did not cause loss of life.

Continue reading “Space Sunday: radiation, rings and pollution”

Space Sunday: Tabby’s Star, NASA’s plans and the Moon’s atmosphere

Is a circumstellar dust ring responsible for the irregular dimming of Tabby’s Star? Credit: NASA/JPL

Yet another study has appeared in an attempt to shed light (pun intended) on the mysterious behaviour of Tabby’s Star.

Regular readers of my Space Sunday columns will recognise this name as belonging to the more formally titled KIC 8462852, an F-type main-sequence star located in the constellation Cygnus approximately 1,480 light years from Earth (and which is also called Boyajian’s Star). This star experiences odd periods of dramatic dimming in its light output every so often (with the Kepler Space Observatory recording a loss of up to 22%), with the fluctuations lasting several solar days before it suddenly resumes its normal luminosity as observed from our solar system.

Many theories have been put forward for what is happening – most of which I’ve covered in these pages. They range from theories about vast alien mega-structures – such as a Dyson sphere, to theories of the star itself suffering what is called “avalanche” activity within itself, to ideas involving huge cometary clouds and giant ringed planets,  or just a single giant ringed planet being responsible.

In the most recent study, Extinction and the Dimming of KIC 8462852, a US / Belgian team of scientists suggest that “none of the above” might actually be the correct answer on why the star goes through its irregular dimming cycle. Instead, they argue it is the result of a huge but thin and uneven dust ring rotating slowly around the star.  What makes this theory particularly compelling is that it draws on three independently gathered sets of data in order to form the hypothesis.

The first of these data sources is NASA’s Spitzer Space Telescope, used to gather data on Tabby’s Star in the infra-red wave band during December 2016. The second is the Swift Gamma-Ray Burst mission, which gathered data on the star in the ultraviolet band during the same period of observation; also at the same time, the Belgian AstroLAB IRIS Observatory’s 68-cm (27-in) reflecting telescope gathered data in the visible light spectrum.

Artist’s concept of KIC 8462852, which has experienced unusual changes in luminosity over the past few years. Credit: NASA/JPL

What the team found, essentially, was that Tabby’s Star experienced less dimming in the infra-red band than in the ultraviolet – a strong indication that there was a mass of materials, each particle just a few micrometres in diameter, passing between the star and the observatories. While it had been previously suggested the dimming could be the result of an interstellar dust cloud lying somewhere in space between Earth and Tabby’s star, the team discounted this as a possible culprit.

Instead the team took their findings and charted known periods of dimming witnessed with Tabby’s Star and determined a circumstellar dust ring surrounding the star, and rotating around it one every 700 days would actually account for the majority of dimming periods observed from Earth. However, two types of even still do now fit the model.

The first of these is some very short-term “spurts” of dimming which have been noted during 2017. The second is the really large dips in luminosity seen by the Kepler Space Observatory. One potential explanation for the “spurts” of dimming, confirmed through multiple independent observations, is that they might be the result of a cometary cloud orbiting the star and coming between it and Earth. This was actually one of the earliest theories put forward to account for all of Tabby’s Star’s odd behaviour, but it fits the “spurts” of dimming a lot better.

The really big dimming periods, when the star appeared to lose up to 22% of its brightness pose their own problem. They were only observed by Kepler, and have yet to be seen to the same magnitude during any other period of observation, making quantifying them hard. Kepler itself is now studying stars in another portion of the galaxy, so cannot be used to further observe Tabby’s Star to see if such huge dips can again be seen.

Thus, there may yet be another mystery to Tabby’s Star waiting to be solved – or other theories on the fluctuating brightness which may yet be put forward. But for now, the circumstellar dust ring seems to be the most fitting explanation for much of the star’s odd behaviour.

The Moon’s Ancient Atmosphere

That’s the startling conclusion of a new study, supported by NASA’s Solar System Exploration Research Virtual Institute, and recently published in Earth and Planetary Science Letters.

Map of basaltic lavas that emitted gases on the lunar nearside. Credit: Debra Needham
Map of basaltic lavas that emitted gases on the lunar near side. Credit: Debra Needham

That the Moon was subject to intense volcanic activity in its early history is evidenced by the massive  volcanic basalt maria (“seas”) on its surface. From Earth, these form the dark patches and patterns we can see with the naked eye. They were created three to four billion years ago, when the interior of the Moon was still hot and generating magmatic plumes. In places, these broke through the lunar crust, flowing outwards for hundreds of kilometres. Analysis of rock sample returned to Earth by the Apollo astronauts has long revealed these lava flows carried with them gases like carbon monoxide and the ingredients for water, sulphur, and other volatile elements.

In the study, work, Dr. Debra H. Needham, Research Scientist of NASA Marshall Space Flight Centre, and Dr. David A. Kring, Senior Staff Scientist, at the Lunar and Planetary Institute (LPI), used the amounts of trace gases and volatiles in the Apollo samples as a baseline for calculating the probable amount of gases released during those ancient lunar eruptions. Their findings suggest that the gases were released is sufficient quantities over a long enough period of time, reaching its peak around 3.5 billion years ago, to form a transient  lunar atmosphere. It then persisted for about 70 million years after the volcanic activity ended, before the bulk of the gases were lost to space.

Distribution of the volcanic “seas” of the Moon (in blue) – sites of ancient eruptions. Credit: Nasa

The two largest pulses of gases were produced when lava seas filled the Serenitatis and Imbrium basins about 3.8 and 3.5 billion years ago, respectively. The margins of those lava seas were explored by astronauts of the Apollo 15 and 17 missions, who collected the samples that provided the ages of the eruptions.

This new picture of the Moon has important implications for future exploration. The analysis of Needham and Kring quantifies a source of volatiles that may have been trapped from the atmosphere in the cold, permanently shadowed regions near the lunar poles and may well provide a source of ice suitable for a sustained lunar exploration programme. Volatiles trapped in these icy deposits might be used  provide air and fuel for astronauts conducting lunar surface operations.

“We Chose To Go to the Moon, Because That’s What We Were Doing Anyway”

The re-invoked US National Space Council (NSC) held its inaugural meeting n Thursday, October 5th, 2017 at the Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum’s (NASM) Steven F. Udvar-Hazy Centre.

Chaired by the Vice President, the Council was originally  established in 1989 by then-President George H.W. Bush to serve the same purpose as the National Aeronautics and Space Council, which oversaw US space policy between 1958 and 1973. That NSC was disbanded in 1993 by the Clinton administration.

In this first meeting, the NSC sought to overturn NASA’s “Journey to Mars” endeavour in favour of a more focused plan to return to the Moon – or did they?

The inaugural meeting of the re-formed NSC, October 5th, 2017. Credit:  NASA / Joel Kowsky

But how new and bold is this directive?

The reality is, what Pence announced on behalf of the NSC on October 5th and despite all the hurrahs, is pretty much what NASA was already doing anyway, and had been doing since President Obama signed the NASA Authorisation Act of 2010. That is: build the Orion Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle and the Space Launch System, establish the Deep Space Gateway in cis-lunar space as an “enabler” for lunar missions and missions to Mars, and develop a presence on the Moon while deferring Mars to some nebulous 2030s time frame. The only significant difference is the instruction for NASA to actually flesh-out the lunar outpost element.

On the one hand, this is good, as it means no mass overturning of the apple cart (a favourite past time of incoming administrations)  and a scramble to sort the apples out again. On the other, it still leaves NASA pursuing goals of questionable need – such as the Deep Space Gateway itself. Which, despite all the hype surrounding it, isn’t actually required for either for getting to the Moon or Mars. Rather, it is an objective that’s become fixed in the NASA mindset, and is now being rationalised on the basis that it is part of the mindset, rather than it offering a means to achieve things that cannot be better (and more cost-effectively) achieved through other methods.

What’s in a Name?

Making it safe to reference the “BFR” – the Big “Falcon” Rocket! Credit: SpaceX

At the 68th International Astronautical Congress (IAC) at the end of September, Elon Musk unveiled more of his thinking around sending humans to Mars.

The linchpin of his aspirations is the massive Interstellar Transport System (ITS) rocket SpaceX is developing. This has caused not a few parents some headaches when explaining things to their children, or created a dilemma when explaining the concept in polite company.

It’s not that explaining the ITS concept in complicated. Far from it. Rather, it’s the fact that Musk has chosen to present the ITS launch system using the acronym he originally defined for it: BFR. This, as just about everyone interested in space exploration knows, stands for “big f***ing rocket”. Descriptive yes, given the size of the beast (see right). But suitable for sensitive or young ears? Er, no, possibly not.

So, how does one deal with explaining what “BFR” means to said sensitive / young ears? SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell recently offered a solution.

While addressing the National Space Council on October 5th, Shotwell – quite probably with a twinkle of humour in his eye –  played on the company’s use of “Falcon” in naming their rockets (the Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy) to get around the BFR acronym.

“Last week,” he said. “Elon announced — or, basically, gave an update on,” he then paused a bit, before continuing, “the Big Falcon Rocket programme. The Big Falcon Rocket and Big Falcon Spaceship.”

So there you have it, a non-offensive and semi-accurate way to explain “BFR” to the kids!